TPC Four Seasons plays host to the next tournament on the PGA Tour this week with the AT&T Byron Nelson. It is a tournament that has provided the maiden wins for a number of players including Jason Day, Keegan Bradley and Jason Dufner. For defending champion Brendon Todd, last year’s win was also his first win on the PGA Tour. He overcame the incredibly tough test offered by the course with aplomb last year but will find it very difficult to defend against a strong field.
The par 70 plays a little under 7,200 yards so it is not the distance that affects the scoring at the Las Colinas course. Rather it’s a track that requires some strong course management. A revamp back in 2007 made many of the greens bigger and with more slopes. The pin positions will have a huge effect from day-to-day because of those slopes. On one day the players might have a camber that will roll the ball towards the hole but away from the hole on other days. Expect the winner to be the player who hits the ball to the right part of the putting surfaces.
Jason Day enjoys this tournament. As stated above, it was the place of his first PGA Tour win and he has placed fifth, tied ninth and tied 27th since that 2010 victory. No player on tour has outscored the Australian on par-threes or fours this season thanks to an aggressive game that can get the ball as close to the hole as anybody else. Day is 16/1 with Bet365. He must improve on his driving accuracy which has seen him hit just 55% of fairways this season but the rest of his game is looking good for another win.
Brandt Snedeker managed to finish tied for second last week at Colonial. A very good result for the 34-year-old who’s already won and placed in the top 10 five times this season. Snedeker is thought of as one of the best putters on Tour and is ranked third in terms of strokes gained putting this season showing that his no nonsense approach is still working for him. His driving accuracy is over 60% and he is ranked 42nd for total driving efficiency. Even if he doesn’t put the ball in exactly the correct portion of the green, his flat stick should see him towards the top of the leaderboard at odds of 28/1 with Coral.
Ian Poulter decided to miss the European Tour’s flagship event at Wentworth last week to play at Colonial and was happy with his tied fifth finish. Poulter’s game has been solid this season with only his putter letting him down. Thankfully for his fans, he placed ranked fourth in strokes gained putting so is showing signs of improvement. Last week will have given him confidence that he can still compete amongst the best players on tour and his good driving accuracy and high number of greens hit in regulation make him good value for an each way bet at 50/1 with Coral here.