The American Express Betting Tips & Results

The American Express is a much changed tournament. When Arnold Palmer won the inaugural edition in 1960 and for many years after, the 90-hole tournament was as well known for the stars who lined up for the huge celebrity pro-am. The name has changed several times over the year – most famously being known as the Bob Hope Desert Classic (or some variation on that name) between 1965 and 2011 – but it retained the large pro-am and the five rounds right up to 2012.

The American Express now takes place over the regulation four rounds of play but, as in previous editions, still takes place on multiple courses. Both the Stadium Course and the Nicklaus Course at PGA West in La Quinta, California are used for hosting duties, for what is one of the first PGA Tour events of the calendar year. It has been won by many of the greats, including Palmer, Jack Nicklaus, and more recently Phil Mickelson (twice, in 2002 and 2004).

Betting Tips for 20th to 23rd January 2022

The American Express is not the most challenging start to the year for those PGA Tour players returning to work. None of the courses is particularly challenging at the best of times but the tour sets them up with wide fairways and friendly pin positions on receptive greens. That is great for the amateurs but it does immediately put the pressure on the professionals who can quickly find themselves falling down the leaderboard if they miss scoring chances.

Jon Rahm hasn’t found it difficult to keep up with the scoring requirements of The American Express. The Spaniard finished a decent 34th in his tournament debut in 2017 before returning the following year to reach -22 and edge out Andrew Landry in a playoff. A sixth-place finish in 2019 was next and after two years away Rahm is being well backed to win again at odds of 6/1. Backing the strong betting favourite isn’t always a wise move in golf but world number one Rahm looked very good in spells in Hawaii and is very much the man the others have to beat.

Tony Finau didn’t take to The American Express as quickly as Rahm but he seems to have worked out the demands of the tournament in more recent years. He actually left La Quinta disappointed with the fourth place finish last year as he couldn’t stick with the pace of Si-woo Kim, Patrick Cantlay or Cameron Smith during the final round. That disappointment helped spur Finau on to his second PGA Tour win later in the year but he’ll still be very keen to put things right with a stronger finish this year so back Finau at odds of 25/1.

The final player to consider supporting this week is Seamus Power at a chunky price of 35/1. After years of having to battle away to retain his PGA Tour playing rights, the Irishman has very much powered up over the last six months and he has finally cracked the top 50 in the official world rankings. Although his play off the tee is not at the level of Rahm or Finau, Power’s consistency from tee to green and his ability to avoid bogeys with his short game and putting suggest he could be a serious contender this week.

Past Winners

Year Course Winner
2022 PGA West Hudson Swafford
2021 PGA West Si Woo Kim
2020 PGA West Andrew Landry
2019 PGA West Adam Long
2018 PGA West Jon Rahm

2022: Hudson Swafford

The PGA Tour are never likely to replay Jon Rahm’s expletive-laden review of The American Express. The world number one let his emotions get the better of him as he bemoaned the easy setup of the three courses which he believed turned the tournament into a putting contest. Golf is a frustrating sport but Rahm knew what he was getting into when he signed up to compete in The American Express. While he was moaning, Hudson Swafford was busy getting on with the job. A job which he completed in stunning style, shooting a Sunday 64 to win the tournament by two shots.

Such was the competitiveness of the leaderboard on Sunday that nobody would have been surprised if extra holes had been required. Swafford had other ideas though, grabbing the tournament by the scruff of the neck with a back nine that included five birdies and an eagle. That was enough to see off Tom Hoge, Brian Harman, Lanto Griffin and Lee Hodges and thus to secure victory in The American Express for a second time.

As delighted as Swafford was with the quality of his play it was the emotion of it all that immediately hit home after the win. Swafford spoke of the poignancy of his son being onsite as he continues to come to terms with the loss of his father in December. “This was definitely a special one,” Swafford said afterwards. “A third win, and about a month ago my father passed away and his birthday was this week, so I know he was following and watching and to get it done, it was awesome.”

2021: Si Woo Kim

The American Express has gone by several different names over the years but whatever it has been called it has long had a reputation for final day drama. Low scores are gettable at PGA West’s Stadium Course and a year after Andrew Landry just about managed to hold off a fast finishing rival, Si Woo Kim did likewise in the 2021 renewal.

Patrick Cantlay was the man playing the role of hunter this time around. His magnificent final round of 61 was two shots better than the previous course record and came on the back of a round of 65 on Saturday for one of the best weekends in PGA Tour history. And yet Cantlay was still one shot short of getting into a playoff, such was the sustained brilliance of Kim.

Kim’s worst round was 68 and his best 64. Those numbers on a course which can bite shows that the South Korean’s game was in great shape all week and also that he has tremendous levels of concentration. The final stages of the tournament also showed that Kim can cope with pressure. He needed to birdie two of the final three holes to get back ahead of Cantlay and promptly did just that, his total of –23 just about good enough.

2020: Andrew Landry

The Stadium Course at PGA West features one of the toughest pair of closing holes on the PGA Tour and this can often lead to exciting finishes. Several players have had their hopes of winning the newly minted The American Express on those closing holes but Andrew Landry did the opposite in 2020. His performance on those closing two holes rescued what was turning into a nightmare final round, holding off the fast finishing Abraham Ancer for his second PGA Tour victory.

Landry’s lead was as big a six shots at one stage before things took a serious turn for the worse. While Landry’s game was falling apart, around him the Mexican Ancer was laying on tremendous pressure a few groups ahead with a blistering round of golf which matched the course record. Just when it looked as though the win had escaped him though, Landry managed to find his best golf once again with a couple of birdies on the very difficult pair of closing holes.

It was the change in emphasis to a more aggressive style of golf that brought about the required change for Landry. “It’s hard when you have a big lead because then you kind of start playing a little defensive,” he said when summing up his round. “Instead of playing defensive you need to be playing more aggressively and just keep hitting the shots that you need to hit.” He realised that just in time and his impressive 262 total was testament to that.

2019: Adam Long

Some golfers toil away for years and years without ever earning a win on the PGA Tour. Adam Long had to wait just six events. As if that wasn’t special enough for the 31-year-old, he earned the win by seeing off the challenge of Phil Mickelson courtesy of a 14 foot putt for birdie on the final hole.

Long was playing alongside Mickelson and Hadwin in the final group. Playing with all the attention of the fans and the television cameras on you is a huge pressure but sharing that burden with a player of Mickelson’s experience and popularity helped Long. Mickelson also helped Long considerably with that winning putt. “I got a pretty good read of Phil’s putt,” Long said. “It was one of those putts that you just stand over you just know you are going to make.” Feeling that sort of calmness and confidence in the biggest moment of his career to date was unexpected and surprising even to the man himself who summed it up saying, “I don’t really know what happened.”

If he got lucky in terms of the read for that final putt, there was no luck involved in the wonderful approach shot that set it up. His six iron from a very tricky downhill lie from 175 yards showed just how talented a golfer Long is and why this is unlikely to be the only winning moment in his career.

2018: Jon Rahm

Talent in itself is not enough to make it on the PGA Tour. There are lots of supremely talented golfers but only a select few who have the drive and grit required to make the most of their abilities and the mental fortitude to make it all the way to the top of this hugely demanding game. Jon Rahm is one of those golfers. The Spaniard proved that by toughing it out in the 2018 CareerBuilder Challenge (as this event was briefly called between 2016 and 2018) to win for the second time on the PGA Tour after a four hole playoff against the man who would go on to win in 2020, Andrew Landry.

Landry had shown plenty of grit of his own before the playoff. He was in the group ahead of Rahm and was always battling against the odds. However, he kept plugging away and played some very good golf which included a birdie on the 18th hole to force the playoff. Landry then kept pace with Rahm for three holes before the relentless brilliance of the winner made the difference with a birdie on the 18th hole.

Just like any golfer, Rahm would have loved to have won by a more comfortable margin but he saw the benefit in being pushed all the way. “Tournaments like this build character,” he said afterward. He has ample character to draw upon in the years to come where he is sure to be in and around his new world ranking of second. “I never thought I was going to be at this point in my life right now,” was how Rahm summed up his ascent and there is no chance of him slowing down now.