DP World Tour Championship Betting Tips & Results

The DP World Tour Championship was introduced in 2009 as the final event of the European Tour season. Its introduction heralded a major change in European golf, as the season-long Order of Merit was replaced with the Race to Dubai.

Throughout its history, the DP World Tour Championship has been held at the Earth course at Jumeirah Golf Estates. Each year, the 60 top players in the Race to Dubai rankings hunt for the birdies they need to win the tournament and the ranking points they need to be crowned the European Tour golfer of the year.

Betting Tips for 18th to 21st November 2021

The European Tour is over. Long live the European Tour. Fittingly, the final event before the much publicised name change to the DP World Tour is the DP World Tour Championship, the tour’s finale event since 2009. Although there has been a bit of controversy about some of the invites to the tournament, there is no question that this is a strong field.

The strength of the field is clear by a quick look at the top of the betting where Rory McIlroy sits just above Collin Morikawa and Matthew Fitzpatrick. Big names are also present in the list of tournament winners which includes some of the very best European Tour players of all time such as Lee Westwood, Henrik Stenson and Jon Rahm (in addition to McIlroy and Fitzpatrick who have won the tournament twice each).

When it comes to players to support in the betting this week, it could pay to take a route one approach and simply back McIlroy to win. There has been an awful lot written about McIlroy’s woes over the last couple of years. Much of that has been overplayed but there was a sense of a player getting back to what he does best with his win in the CJ Cup last month. Finally able to work in person with his long-time coach Michael Bannon, McIlroy has a good deal of momentum behind him to add to his excellent course record and he can send out a message for 2022 with a third DP World Tour Championship win at 6/1. That may seem like a short price in a field of this class but it is still solid value.

Bernd Wiesberger has been on the fringes of the European elite for some time. The popular Austrian has gone through losses of form and injury problems during his ascent up the rankings and while he isn’t going to be crowned the number one golfer in Europe this year, he could well be a Race to Dubai champion of the future. Wiesberger is certainly world class with his irons and wedges and after getting a taste of the Ryder Cup, he is even keener than ever to get to the very top of the game. He played well last week and a strong showing in Dubai would be a big plus in his long term goals and Wiesberger is certainly appealing as an each way option at 22/1.

The final player to support this week is tournament debutante, Billy Horschel. After his win at the BMW PGA Championship and other strong showings, Horschel has an excellent chance to win the Race to Dubai but he needs a better week than Collin Morikawa. That is well within his capabilities. A decent start to his PGA Tour season a fortnight ago gives Horschel a good platform from which to build and his game should be a good fit for the Earth Course so 28/1 looks a good each way price for a player who has form coming good for this sort of event.

Past Winners

Year Course Winner
2021 Jumeirah Golf Estates Collin Morikawa
2020 Jumeirah Golf Estates Matthew Fitzpatrick
2019 Jumeirah Golf Estates Jon Rahm
2018 Jumeirah Golf Estates Danny Willett
2017 Jumeirah Golf Estates Jon Rahm

2021: Collin Morikawa

The European Tour has always been a global tour in nature. The tour’s administrators have moved to push that even further in recent years and it is fitting that the final tournament before the tour’s name changed to the DP World Tour was won by Collin Morikawa as the win made him the first American to win the Race to Dubai.

There were some grumblings that Morikawa didn’t play enough regular European Tour events over the course of the season to warrant winning the Race to Dubai. However, anybody who watched the way he took the tournament away from the rest of the field was left with no doubt that he deserves all the accolades, prize money and trophies coming his way.

It looked for most of the 2021 DP World Tour Championship that Rory McIlroy would run away with the title for the third time. He was in almost total control of his game until the final round where he struggled to get going and then suffered a huge slice of bad luck on the 15th hole. Just as McIlroy’s challenge was stuttering, Morikawa put his foot down, making five birdies in his last seven holes to win the tournament by three shots.

2020: Matthew Fitzpatrick

The season-ending DP World Tour Championship is best known for providing European Tour players with a shot at glory. It was different for Matt Fitzpatrick in 2020. He viewed the tournament as a shot at redemption after a disappointing season. Building on some strong incoming form, Fitzpatrick grabbed that opportunity with a one-stroke victory over Lee Westwood.

Fitzpatrick was not in contention to win the Race to Dubai. Disappointing as that was, it made things simple for him. His job was to focus on his performance and in that regard, he was very happy with his first three days of play. On Sunday, he tried to reduce the pressure again by telling himself his play so far made this a good week no matter what the result on Sunday.

As it turned out, the quality of his golf remained high on Sunday and he could see the win out. Runner up Lee Westwood was far from disappointed with his result as it was enough to complete his own redemption. His wonderful season ended with him winning the Race to Dubai, 11 years since he last topped the order of merit and 18 years after he first won it.

2019: Jon Rahm

When Jon Rahm won the 2017 DP World Tour Championship he viewed it as validation. Knowing that he could win the biggest events on the European Tour was important but by no means the limit of his ambitions. He wanted to join his hero Seve Ballesteros and top the European Tour order of merit and he did just that with this win at the 2019 DP World Tour Championship.

Rahm started the tournament as the best player on the European Tour. This event was about setting out his stall and making it clear to his challengers that they would have to raise their game to have any chance of catching him. It was Tommy Fleetwood who took up the challenge of catching Rahm. The Englishman went on a tear on the back nine with birdies on five of his last seven holes. At the same time, Rahm’s levels dropped and it looked as though the tournament was heading for a playoff with the two men level on -18 with Rahm stood on the final tee.

Typically, Rahm went on the attack in the search for the birdie he needed to win but found himself in trouble in a greenside bunker. That’s when he produced a bit of magic worthy of Ballesteros to get up and down for the title. This was a sixth win from just 15 European Tour starts for Rahm who moved to number three in the world rankings as well as number one in Europe.

2018: Danny Willett

Danny Willett will always be a Masters champion. Just like the way American presidents are called president for life, golfers who win green jackets are Masters champions for life. The trouble for Willett is that he achieved precious little after that Masters win. He lost his swing, split with his coach and caddie and plummeted down the world rankings. Such a slip would have buried some golfers but Willett resolved to do the work required to get back to the top-level so his win at the 2018 DP World Tour Championship was as sweet as any other in his career.

“It’s been tough,” Willett said after the win. “You never quite know when a win is around the corner and with all the things that have happened, I was never quite sure if it was going to happen again.” He wasn’t even sure on the final hole of the tournament. Despite having a two-shot lead to play with, Willett hit a wayward drive towards the creek that meanders up the 18th hole at the Earth Course. He thought his ball was in the hazard but got an incredibly lucky break and took advantage to see out the win.

Just like the year before, the DP World Tour Champion did not also win the Race to Dubai. That honour went to Francesco Molinari. The Italian added the European order of merit to a year in which he won the Open and starred with a perfect five-point record at the Ryder Cup.

2017: Jon Rahm

Jon Rahm capped a superb season for Spanish golf with his win at the 2017 DP World Tour Championship. Masters champion Sergio Garcia was the winner of the Golfer of the Year award but it was Rahm who got his hands on the tournament trophy.

Like so many younger players who did so well in the American collegiate system, Rahm turned pro with a huge amount of confidence. He arrived in Dubai with wins on both the PGA Tour and European Tour to his name and set about attacking the Earth Course. He played some very good golf across all four days of the DP World Tour Championship and was in position to strike when Justin Rose made a couple of costly mistakes in the final round.

Rose’s wayward drive on 12 and a short missed putt for par on 16 were not just costly in terms of the tournament. In falling from the lead to a share of second place Rose also missed out on the Race to Dubai, handing top spot on the European Tour’s order of merit to Tommy Fleetwood. As for Rahm, this was the win that proved he had very quickly joined golf’s elite. “I don’t know if it shows anybody else or note, but it does prove to myself that I belong to be here,” said Rahm, in contemplative mood.