Honda Classic Betting Tips & Results

The Honda Classic has always been very much a Florida event. When it was first founded as the Jackie Gleason Inverrary Classic and for over a decade after, the tournament was hosted at Inverrary Country Club. Thereafter a series of name changes and new host venues followed before the Honda Classic settled on the Champion Course at PGA National Resort and Spa.

In those early days, the tournament was one of the most lucrative on the PGA Tour. It is no longer a standout event in that regard but it remains a very well regarded event capable of attracting strong fields. It takes place in late winter when the PGA Tour heads west for the ‘Florida Swing’ in search of temperate conditions.

Betting Tips for 24th to 27th February

If the Phoenix Open was for casual golf fans and those looking for a big day out, and the Genesis Invitational was for golfing purists who want to watch the best in the world on a classic layout, it’s difficult to pin down exactly who the Honda Classic is for.

Above all else, this is in many ways a tournament for the legend that is Jack Nicklaus. He proudly hosts the event which raises a great deal of money for his charity every year. However, the pull of a trophy presentation alongside Nicklaus, a spin around PGA National with its famed Bear Trap and a prize fund of $8 million is clearly not enough to attract the star names.

Make no bones about it, this is a weak renewal of the Honda Classic. That will not please Nicklaus, it will not please the sponsors but it will please many of those in the field. For all the talk about players wanting to compete against the best in the world week in week out, many of those competing this week would love any boost they can in their aims of rediscovering that winning feeling on tour. It should go without saying that there is no such thing as an easy PGA Tour event to win but the Honda Classic won’t be quite as difficult to win as last week’s star-studded Genesis Invitational.

Alex Noren is on the long list of PGA Tour players who has been grinding for a win without success for a long time. The Swede has been prolific on the European Tour at different times during his long career but he is yet to win on the PGA Tour despite basing himself in America for a number of years. That said, Noren has done very well to arrest the worrying slide in his performances over the last couple of years and he’s had some good results this season. He’s also played well at the Honda Classic previously and will feel as though he has a genuine chance to do something special this week. Noren is experienced enough to stay in contention should he start strongly and his chances are better than his huge pre-tournament odds of 33/1 suggest.

Like so many of the players in the field this week, Shane Lowry’s base in America is in Florida. He is taking advantage of the shorter commuting distance this week and probably during the remainder of the Florida Swing. Although Florida is a long way from where he grew up playing golf in Ireland, Lowry knows all about the types of grass found in this part of the world. His ball striking and rock-solid short game should stand him in good stead while his strong form during the start of the DP World Tour suggests he is primed for a big week at those same juicy odds of 33/1

Matthew Wolff is at a very different stage of his career to both Noren and Lowry but he must be feeling the pressure to get back to winning ways. While his contemporaries from college golf, Collin Morikawa and Viktor Hovland, have risen to the upper echelons of the game, currently ranked second and fourth respectively, Wolff’s ascent stalled somewhat last season. He is starting to see the results of a lot of hard work and was very good during the first two rounds in the Saudi International. Wolff can continue to get his career back on track in these calmer waters and is another top player who is worthy of each way support at 45/1.

Past Winners

Year Course Winner
2022 PGA National Resort and Spa Sepp Straka
2021 PGA National Resort and Spa Matt Jones
2020 PGA National Resort and Spa Sungjae Im
2019 PGA National Resort and Spa Keith Mitchell
2018 PGA National Resort and Spa Justin Thomas

2022: Sepp Straka

The Honda Classic has not thrived in recent years as much as tournament host Jack Nicklaus would have hoped. The tournament has an awkward position in the golfing calendar and PGA National is not everybody’s cup of tea so field strength has gradually declined. That does provide an opportunity for relatively unheralded players, an opportunity that Sepp Straka grabbed with both hands as he won for the first time on the PGA Tour.

As for most PGA Tour winners, Straka needed a certain amount of luck along the way. That luck came in the shape of a horrible final round from Daniel Berger. Berger had a commanding five-shot lead at the end of play on Saturday but he endured a nightmare day. Straka and Shane Lowry did all they could to burst through the door that Berger had left ajar. Lowry came up just one shot short of forcing his way into a playoff and it was Straka celebrating on the 18th green.

“I had a good feeling,” Straka said about his hopes for the final round. “My brother text me right before the round and he said that he had a good feeling about this one.” Straka and his brother were proven correct as the 28 year old became the first Austrian to win on the PGA Tour.

2021: Matt Jones

Recent editions of The Honda Classic have tended to be tight affairs with multiple players in the running during the final round. Matt Jones broke that trend in 2021, winning the tournament by five shots from Brandon Hagy.

As a star of Australian golf, Hagy has had to put the miles in to follow his dreams of succeeding in the professional ranks. This was his fourth professional win. Two of those came on home soil in the Australian Open and two of them have come on the PGA Tour. Each of those wins was special in their own right, this one because it marked the end of a tough road in which his best golf was a long way away.

“Sorry, I’m pretty emotional,” Jones said during his post-tournament interview. “Seven years [between PGA Tour wins], I’ve had some tough times in between that and now.” It took a lot of work to get back to a point where he could be competitive against this calibre of opposition, let alone close out a two-shot 54-hole lead. With this win, Jones is assured of his status on the PGA Tour for the next two years and gets one of the final places remaining in the 2021 Masters.

2020: Sungjae Im

The Honda Classic crowned a first-time winner in Keith Mitchell last year and it was more of the same 12 months on. Sungjae Im, who has amassed tremendous popularity since joining the PGA Tour, broke his duck with a one-shot win over Mackenzie Hughes. Having been named the rookie of the year last season, Im had already announced himself on the PGA Tour but there is nothing like a win to confirm that this is the level at which you belong.

Much of Im’s popularity stems from his aggressive style of golf. It was ironic then that his first win was secured in very different style. PGA National is a tough test at the best of times but with the cooly, blustery conditions that the players were presented with for much of the tournament, Im had to simply keep his head above water at times.

Scoring was easier on Sunday and four of Im’s six shots under par came during the final round. While he took steps forward during his final round, Tommy Fleetwood went backwards. The Englishman couldn’t break par on Sunday, opening the door for Im to stride confidently through.

2019: Keith Mitchell

If you’re going to prove that you belong on the PGA Tour, seeing off the challenge of Rickie Fowler and Brooks Koepka to win your maiden tournament is a hell of a way to do it. Keith Mitchell knew that he would need his best golf and a lot of mental fortitude to win at PGA National. It all clicked for him when he needed it most, pipping those two multiple PGA Tour winners by a single shot.

You need all of the shots to win at PGA National. Mitchell showed tremendous skill to navigate the potential pitfalls that lay ahead of him but he was perhaps happiest with the way that he never looked like a rookie when the pressure was turned on. Even when the inevitable mistakes occurred he didn’t beat himself up. His bogey on the 11th hole was a great case in point. Rather than worrying about opening the door to his rivals, Mitchell put the bogey firmly behind him with birdies on his next two holes.

As well as Mitchell was playing, he just couldn’t shake Fowler and Koepka off. He stood on the 18th hole knowing that a par would take him into a playoff against the two stars. A par looked like it would be a great score after Mitchell hooked his drive but he got himself back into position and then got up and down courtesy of a good wedge shot and an excellent putt from 15 feet to make birdie and become a PGA Tour winner for the first time.

2018: Justin Thomas

When golf tournaments run over the scheduled time you’ll often hear the commentators remark that the course is actually darker than the cameras make it look. Justin Thomas’s win at the 2018 Honda Classic was a great illustration of this.

During his playoff against Luke List, Thomas his a five wood over water and completely lost it in the dark. “All I was looking at was the water to see if it splashed,” Thomas said after the round had finished. It didn’t. His ball flew the water, missed the bunkers lurking around and found the green. Two putts secured a birdie which was enough for the win as List could only make a par.

The playoff saw a continuation of Thomas’s aggressive play from late on in the round. He knew he had to go flag hunting to have a chance of winning and nearly holed out with a wedge for eagle on the 72nd hole of his tournament. It was not to be and List, who was playing aggressively himself, got into the playoff. Thomas prevailed though and the win moved him to number three in the world and closer to his ultimate goal of topping the world rankings.