Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Tips & Results

Even the most casual of golf fans knows Pebble Beach Golf Links. The historic course has been the host and star of several major championships with the biggest names in golf plying their trade at the coastal Californian links. Holes such as the short seventh, a par three of just 106 yards, are iconic within the game, whilst Tiger Woods’ win at the 2000 US Open here will never be forgotten. That year the wind was up and the course bared its teeth. Tiger was the only player to beat par...by just the 12 shots for an incredible 15 stroke victory!

The Pebble Beach that we see during the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am doesn’t have the teeth of a U.S. Open set up but it retains that special feeling for this popular event. As this event sees a big field of PGA Tour players also competing alongside an amateur partner, multiple courses need to be used. The rotation has changed countless times since the first edition of this event in 1937 but in recent years it has settled on the excellent Spyglass Hill Golf Course and Monterey Peninsula Country Club as the support acts for the Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

Betting Tips for 3rd to 6th February 2022

It’s fair to say that pro-am tournaments are not for everybody. While thousands of fans will line the fairways of Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula hoping for a glimpse of the stars of golf and entertainment, others will give this week’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am a wide berth due to the slow pace of play and the ease with which the three courses will be set up to play.

Completely disregarding the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am is a short-sighted decision. The host venue is among the most iconic golf courses in the world and it takes some very good golf to win the title. It’s also a tournament that has provided some very big-priced winners for punters and there is some good value to be uncovered ahead of the 2022 renewal.

The key attributes to focus on this week are putting and patience. While the players will have to get to grips with three different courses, there isn’t too much to worry world-class golfers from tee to green at any of the three venues. The greens are a different matter though. Even with friendly pin positions the Poa Annua grass found in this part of California is unpredictable and must be approached with confidence as timid putts are likely to wiggle offline.

Patience with green surfaces that can be unfair is important but it’s also important to cope with the pace of play and to be able to smile and chat to their amateur partner as and when things inevitably go wrong for them.

Jordan Spieth knows all about patience both in a short term and long term sense. He is a regular at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am so the pace of play will hold no surprises at all. He has also had to cope with some serious losses of form from which he has always emerged. A missed cut at the Farmers Insurance Open was concerning because of the way he putted but back on greens he knows inside out and at a tournament that he loves, Spieth can prove his class once more at odds of 20/1.

Justin Rose is another player with immense class who may feel as though he has something to prove at the moment. It’s been a couple of years now since Rose consistently competed with the best players in the world going back through a much-discussed change in equipment. The signs are good that Rose is on the path back to his best and his ball-striking was genuinely elite at Torrey Pines last week. Rose is a great networker so he’ll enjoy the feel of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am so is very much one to watch at a price of 28/1.

At a very big price, consider a small stakes bet on Luke Donald. The former world number one has found it very tough to match the biggest hitters in the game over the last number of years so must capitalise on courses where distance is not an issue. That is the case this week and Donald, who continues to work incredibly hard on all aspects of his performance, can utilise his ball-striking and putting prowess to mount a challenge at a monster price of 400/1.

Past Winners

Year Course Winner
2022 Pebble Beach Golf LinksSpyglass Hill Golf CourseMonterey Peninsula Country Club Tom Hoge
2021 Pebble Beach Golf LinksSpyglass Hill Golf Course Daniel Berger
2020 Pebble Beach Golf LinksSpyglass Hill Golf CourseMonterey Peninsula Country Club Nick Taylor
2019 Pebble Beach Golf LinksSpyglass Hill Golf CourseMonterey Peninsula Country Club Phil Mickelson
2018 Pebble Beach Golf LinksSpyglass Hill Golf CourseMonterey Peninsula Country Club Ted Potter Jr.

2022: Tom Hoge

The 2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am had many of the ingredients to which we have become accustomed. There was the beauty of Pebble Beach, the clown act of Bill Murray delighting the crowds and a course specialist looking likely to win. Jordan Spieth emerged from an average start to put himself in pole position to win the tournament for the second time but a couple of costly late mistakes opened the door and Tom Hoge was the man to take advantage.

This is far from the most intense atmosphere on the PGA Tour but Pebble Beach is not an easy place to earn your breakthrough win. Hoge had to win on an iconic course that has a history of final-round collapses. Indeed, the performances of Beau Hossler and Patrick Cantlay on Sunday served as a reminder of how challenging a firm Pebble Beach can be for anybody in contention.

Hoge was able to win after leaning into the things that have worked well for him of late. His ball striking was typically high class and when your approach play is working it takes the pressure off the rest of your game. Hoge was also excellent on the greens, ranking fourth for strokes gained putting. That combination is tough to beat and a strong finish culminated in a two-stroke win for Hoge.

2021: Daniel Berger

Pebble Beach is among the most iconic golf courses in the world and also one of the most scenic. It’s a deeply historic place and Daniel Berger was delighted to be able to write his name into that history with a famous and deserved win in the 2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

After a topsy turvy final round, Berger stood on the final tee knowing that he needed to force a birdie to win. That sort of pressure would force some players into their shells but not Berger. “I was going to go down swinging,” Berger said shortly after winning the tournament with a stunning eagle on the 72nd hole. The cool sea air meant that the par five green was only reachable with two excellent shots. That is exactly what Berger produced under the most intense pressure.

He gave his drive everything he had and yet was still able to find the middle of the fairway. From there he had no thoughts of laying up. Berger pulled his three wood out and not only did he reach the green but he left that lengthy approach shot just 30 feet from the pin. With adrenaline pumping it would have been easy to mess up the two-putt that he needed but Berger’s aggressive approach saw him drain the eagle putt to win in serious style.

2020: Nick Taylor

Nick Taylor knew he was up against it in the final round of the 2020 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. He was paired with California legend and five-time and defending champion Phil Mickelson. The galleries came out in big numbers to cheer Mickelson on but Taylor was able to block out the noise to coolly go round in 70 on Sunday and earn his second PGA Tour win by the impressive margin of four shots.

That Kevin Streelman was the man closest to Taylor in the final reckoning tells its own story of Mickelson’s final round. Despite more experience at Pebble Beach than anybody else in the field, Mickelson was blown off course by the coastal wind which was worse on Sunday than any other day of the tournament.

Gusts were measured at 40mph by the time the final group made the turn. As concerning as that was for Taylor and his chance of winning, the five shot lead that he had built up by that point calmed the nerves considerably. “That was amazing,” Taylor said after the tournament. “I believed I could do it because I’ve done it before. But to do it in that fashion, playing with Phil, gives me a lot of confidence going forward.”

2019: Phil Mickelson

Phil Mickelson went round Pebble Beach in -5 on his final round of the 2018 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. As good as he was that day, he still finished three shots behind winner Ted Potter Jr. One year on and Mickelson was intent to make sure he didn’t suffer the same fate. Despite being frustrated at the inability to finish the tournament on Sunday, Mickelson returned on Monday morning to finish off with a fantastic last round of -7 that was enough to beat playing partner Paul Casey by three shots.

Mickelson is a student of the game who loves links courses and he certainly loves Pebble Beach, perhaps more than any other course. This win will only deepen that love. He was three shots behind Casey heading into the final round and despite playing in the final group on greens which can get chewed up by prior players, he matched the low round of the day on Sunday. Mickelson was able to lean into all of his experience both in terms of knowing exactly how to go low at Pebble Beach and also how to deal with setbacks and frustration.

Mickelson was animated when play was called for the day on Sunday evening but after completing the win he admitted that Casey was right to hold his ground and push for a return on Monday. The rain that forced a significant delay to the tournament had a major impact on the course with balls plugging on the fairway. Mickelson knew that it would be a very different course in the upcoming U.S. Open back at Pebble Beach but was happy to take advantage of the scorable conditions to win this tournament for a remarkable fifth time.

2018: Ted Potter Jr.

The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am is one of the most relaxed, enjoyable tournaments of the year on the PGA Tour. At least up until Sunday. When the bulk of the amateur players have gone, the cut has fallen and the remaining players head back to Pebble Beach, the pressure can get quite intense to say the least. Ted Potter Jr. will attest to that.

Prior to his stellar performance over the first three days in Southern California, Potter’s previous appearance in the final group of a professional event came in the 2011. That was on the Web.com Tour. This time he was playing alongside world number one and two-time Pebble Beach Pro-Am winner Dustin Johnson. Potter was the clear underdog but he held his nerve to win, outscoring Johnson by three shots around Pebble Beach.

“I knew everyone thought Dustin was going to win,” Potter said after a finishing his round with a nervy three putt bogey. “I was the underdog, what did I have to lose? All I could do was try and grind as hard as I can and I just hit a lot of quality shots to small targets when I had to on the back nine, when the pressure was on.” That pressure was intensified by a chasing pack headed by Phil Mickelson but Potter rose to the occasion for his second PGA Tour title.