Rocket Mortgage Classic Betting Tips & Results

The Rocket Mortgage Classic was a new addition to the PGA Tour in 2019. Although it replaced the Quicken Loans National on the schedule, this is a brand new tournament in its own right with its own set of records starting with Nate Lashley’s win in 2019.

Quicken Loans, the parent company of Rocket Mortgage, is a proudly Detroit-based company and they have made sure that this tournament is a celebration of Motor City. Detroit Golf Club was the first host venue for the Rocket Mortgage Classic, becoming the first venue inside the Detroit city limits to host a PGA Tour event.

Betting Tips for 1st to 4th July 2021

The bookies will always look at previous course and event form before setting their odds for a golf tournament. The value of that form differs from course to course and with only two previous editions of the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club you’d think it would have only limited impact on the odds for this year’s edition. However, the utter dominance of Bryson DeChambeau last year in Motor City means he is almost half the price of his next challenger Patrick Reed.

The obvious question is whether or not there is any value in backing DeChambeau at a best price of 15/2. He is the sixth best player in the world and while recent results haven’t been quite what you’d expect of late, he won the Arnold Palmer Invitational earlier in the year and hasn’t missed a cut since the Genesis Open in February. This is clearly a course that suits DeChambeau’s game so he may well be worth support but only if also adding some longer odds options to the mix.

The first relative outsider to consider is the red-hot Garrick Higgo. To say that this has been a breakthrough year for the South African would be the understatement of the golfing season. He continues to rise to every challenge placed in his way, adding a PGA Tour win (in just his second start) to the two European Tour wins he picked up earlier in the season. A pair of missed cuts have seen his price eased out to a generous looking 50/1 but at a track that should suit that looks far too big.

The final recommended bet for the Rocket Mortgage Classic is Alex Noren at 66/1. The Swede has worked his way back to form impressively after a slump that hinted his days competing at the top level may be behind him. The missed cut at the Palmetto Championship was just his second since February and in that time he’s earned five finishes of 25th or better. A first victory on the PGA Tour continues to allude him but he has every chance of contending and rewarding each way backers.

Past Winners

Year Course Winner
2021 Detroit Golf Club Cam Davis
2020 Detroit Golf Club Bryson DeChambeau
2019 Detroit Golf Club Nate Lashley

2021: Cam Davis

Cam Davis could be forgiven for feeling more than a little bit annoyed by Troy Merritt. The 26 year old Australian was giving all that he had in pursuit of a first PGA Tour win but he just could not shake off Merritt in the closing stages of the 2021 Rocket Mortgage Classic. That was until the fifth hole of a playoff when Merritt finally ran out of energy and Davis made that long-awaited breakthrough.

Merritt’s Sunday started slowly. Making the turn in even par was not enough and made Davis and Joaquin Niemann the favourites for the win. He would soon turn it around and ended so strongly that he forced both Davis and Niemann to make late birdies just to make it into a three-man playoff. If it seemed as though he had the momentum going into extra holes, that soon faded as Merritt somehow managed to cling on with Davis passing up several good chances to make the birdie he needed to win.

As frustrated as Davis was with his inability to get the job done, he deserves praise for not beating himself up. It would have been easy to view each missed chance as the end of this golden opportunity but he kept going to grind down first Niemann and then Merritt and emerge victorious from this extended version of the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

2020: Bryson DeChambeau

A look at the shots gained statistics for the Rocket Mortgage Classic show that driving accuracy is much more important at Detroit Golf Club than most golf courses used on the PGA Tour. However, it was the biggest hitter on the PGA Tour, Bryson DeChambeau, who ended up winning the second edition of the tournament by three shots.

As with any PGA Tour winner, there was more than one impressive aspect of DeChambeau’s game. Indeed, he gained more strokes on the field with his putter than with his driver but there is no doubting that his play off the tee set the tone for an aggressive style of golf. Even with only two events to go on, it is clear that aggression is key at Detroit Golf Club as DeChambeau’s winning score of -23 was two shots lower than Nate Lashley the previous year.

For DeChambeau, this was the start of the validation of the process he undertook to transform his body and his golf game. His reading of the stats is that the further he can hit it, the more wins he will rack up over the course of his career and after a win as stunning as this, who could argue with him?

2019: Nate Lashley

Nate Lashley got an idea that scoring was going to be very low at the inaugural edition of the Rocket Mortgage Classic when his opening round of 63 was good enough for just a one-shot lead by the end of Thursday’s play. The two players who were just one shot away, Ryan Armour and Nick Watney, failed to hack the pace and both ended up in a tie for 46th place whereas Lashley kept his foot to the gas, firing in a 67 on Friday, another 63 on Friday and then holding on in more difficult conditions on Sunday with a round of 70. Combined, that made a remarkable score of 25 under par which was enough for a six-shot victory over Doc Redman.

Lashley’s incredible scoring across the four days is only a part of the tale of his first PGA Tour win. His week began in disappointment when he failed to play his way into the tournament via Monday qualifying (where he was edged out by Redman) but started looking up on Wednesday as the late withdrawal of David Berganio Jr gave him a fortuitous route into the event as the third and final alternate.

Understandably, Lashley was a real underdog and attracted very little support in the betting at a general price of 250/1. He was soon making a mockery of those odds and ensuring job security on the PGA Tour for the next two years with his stunning wire to wire win.