AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Tips & Results

Golf was a very different sport when Byron Nelson was in his pomp. The hall of fame-honoured player was only an active touring professional between 1935 and 1946 but was still able to amass five major championships before retiring to become a rancher. Later in life he returned to professional golf as a commentator and the host of the AT&T Byron Nelson.

This was the first tournament to be named after a professional golfer, showing the reverence with which the PGA Tour and the wider golfing world hold Nelson. He was also well respected for the amount of money he raised for charity and while the AT&T Byron Nelson isn’t the strongest event on the PGA Tour schedule, it continues to do a great deal for charitable organisations while providing less heralded players with the chance to earn a life-changing win.

Betting Tips for 12th to 15th May 2022

It is commonplace for golfers to earn their place on the PGA Tour via promotion from the Korn Ferry Tour. It’s not just golfers who can make the step up though. TPC Craig Ranch made its debut as a PGA Tour venue last year having only previously been seen on the Korn Ferry Tour and it made enough of an impression to be given another go at hosting the well-established AT&T Byron Nelson.

When you look back at last year the first thing that stands out is the importance of a solid game from tee to green. That was certainly the basis of Lee Kyoung-hoon's winning performance last year. The South Korean didn’t set the world alight off the tee but he his approach play was second only to Will Zalatoris while his total strokes gained figures from tee to green were bested only by Sam Burns. Zalatoris and Burns were both let down by their putter, whereas Lee gained ground on the greens.

While a good week with the putter is not a necessity, a bad week can scupper players’ chances of winning. That could be especially true this week as the forecast is for near perfect weather with sun, blue skies and little in the way of wind for the majority of the tournament. Perfect conditions means there are no excuses for making a mess of things from tee to green and that there will likely be a high number of scoring opportunities so making birdies will be a must.

You wouldn’t think that world number one Scottie Scheffler would have any trouble on the greens at TPC Craig Ranch. However, he lost strokes to the field putting last year and while his all-round game is obviously in much better shape this time around, he doesn’t scream betting value at low odds of just 10/1. Second favourite Justin Thomas may also be best left alone as there is a feeling that the big guns are most interested in fine tuning their games ahead of next week’s PGA Championship rather than going all out for victory.

Tommy Fleetwood is among the elite players who will be expecting a strong showing at the PGA Championship but he is also putting a great deal of effort into earning his first win on the PGA Tour. That win could well come on his AT&T Byron Nelson debut. There are plenty of positive signs about the strength of Fleetwood’s game at the moment. He may still be shy of the best golf he played in 2020 but he’s driving the ball well, his ball striking is returning to elite levels and he’s had some very good weeks with the putter this season. Any time Fleetwood marries up his ball striking with confidence on the greens he is a major threat and at 50/1 his odds are more than tempting for an each way bet.

Matt Kuchar is another player who has shown signs of getting back to his best lately. The 43-year-old knows that he has to work even harder to remain competitive in a professional sport which increasingly skews towards younger, more athletic players but TPC Craig Ranch is the sort of course which can level the playing field. Kuchar’s best recent form came at Harbour Town which is another venue where shot makers tend to thrive and in the Valero Texas Open. Can Kuchar keep things going in the right direction as he returns to Texas? 66/1 is a good enough price to back him each way and find out.

Ian Poulter didn’t have as good a time of it when he was last in Texas as Kuchar. An uncharacteristically poor week with his putter meant he missed the cut at the Valero Texas Open but he is never one to back down from a challenge and will hope for much more back in the Lone Star State. Poulter has played the AT&T Byron Nelson five times previously but has never played at TPC Craig Ranch. There is a good chance he’ll like what he finds when he arrives at McKinney and that he can have his best week of the season so far to challenge at the really massive price of 110/1.

Past Winners

Year Course Winner
2022 TPC Craig Ranch Lee Kyoung-hoon
2021 TPC Craig Ranch Lee Kyoung-hoon
2020 Cancelled n/a
2019 Trinity Forest Golf Club Sung Kang
2018 Trinity Forest Golf Club Aaron Wise
2017 TPC Four Seasons Resort Billy Horschel

2022: Lee Kyoung-hoon

Judging by the reaction to the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson, TPC Craig Ranch is not to the taste of every golf fan. The layout may have its detractors but KH Lee is certainly not one of them. TPC Craig Ranch was the scene of Lee’s first PGA Tour win and, one year later, it was also the scene of his second. The 30 year old overcame a stacked leaderboard, reaching a score of -26 which was just out of reach of Jordan Spieth, Sebastian Muñoz and Hideki Matsuyama.

Scoring was low throughout the week but the tournament began to feel a little ridiculous during Sunday’s final round. Xander Schauffele went round in 61 to set the clubhouse lead on -23 and yet was a 100/1 shot in play such was the market’s conviction that his score would be usurped. Schauffele himself said that he had no chance of winning in his post-round press duties and he was proven correct as his winning score was soon beaten.

While those in contention had little trouble grabbing a share of the lead they did have some trouble staying there. Spieth made costly errors to the disappointment of the Dallas fans who were desperate for one of their own to win while Muñoz and Justin Thomas just couldn’t take enough chances. Given his incoming form, Lee’s win was as much of a surprise as it was the year before and he’ll be hoping that TPC Craig Ranch stays on the schedule for many more years to come so he can earn more wins against the odds.

2021: Lee Kyoung-hoon

The AT&T Byron Nelson moved to a new venue for 2021. Part of the reason for the switch away from Trinity Forest was that it was too easy for PGA Tour professionals to go seriously low. In that regard, Lee Kyoung-hoon’s winning score of -25 wasn’t a great look for the event but it was of tiny significance compared to the good news story of Lee’s win.

The 29 year old South Korean showed that the pressure of a maiden PGA Tour win was not overwhelming him as he made five birdies on the front nine alone as he rode a wave of confidence in the heat of competition. Those figurative waves almost became literal ones, however, such was the ferocity of the rain which forced a pause in play.

Plenty of players have found it difficult to maintain a title charge after lengthy delays but Lee was raring to go after the two-hour pause and he kept his foot down, ending all sense of suspense with a strong finish that included birdies on the final two holes which took his winning margin to three shots over Sam Burns.

If 28 birdies, an eye-catching game from tee to green and excellent mental fortitude weren’t enough to win over golf fans, Lee then endeared himself further with his post-round interview. The combination of Lee’s personality and golfing ability means we could be looking at the birth of a real star of the game.

2020: Cancelled

The 2020 tournament was cancelled.

2019: Sung Kang

The decision to move the AT&T Byron Nelson to Trinity Forest Golf Club was taken to try and give the tournament a shot in the arm. Fields had steadily weakened as players decided they didn’t want to play at TPC Four Seasons but the move to Trinity Forest didn’t quite have the positive effect that was hoped for. For the second year in a row, the winner of the Byron Nelson shot -23 as the par-71 links-style course provided continued birdie opportunities.

Complaints about the course were heard from fans and pundits but most decidedly not from Sung Kang who took full advantage as he took the course apart. He tied with the tournament record set by Aaron Wise the year before. Also like Wise, this was the first PGA Tour win of Kang’s career while it was the second time that the Byron Nelson has been won by a South Korean after Sangmoon Bae’s victory in 2013.

Sung Kang was right to be delighted with his performance in Dallas which included equalling the course record of 61. He did enough to keep an eclectic and strong chasing pack firmly in the rearview mirror with Matt Every, Scott Piercy and Brooks Koepka filling the places in behind him.

2018: Aaron Wise

The road to winning on the PGA Tour is a long one, taking in a whole host of junior, amateur and mini-tour events along the way. Aaron Wise knows exactly how tough it is to keep fighting to get to the top. Prior to making it onto the PGA Tour, he secured wins on the and Mackenzie Tours and all of that hard work returned handsomely in the moment that every professional golfer dreams of: walking up the final fairway, saluting the crowd with victory assured.

Victory was anything but assured for Wise when he began his final round, though. Although he started Sunday seven shots clear of Branden Grace in third place, he had company at the top of the leaderboard in the shape of the experienced winner of multiple events around the world, Marc Leishman. It was Wise who looked like the experienced pro though, steadily pulling clear of Leishman after a weather delay to win his first PGA Tour title.

As impressive as the 21 year old rookie’s win was, the 2018 edition of the AT&T Byron Nelson was not universally revered by golf fans. The return to Dallas had historical significance on the tournament’s 50th anniversary but Trinity Forest proved to be a pushover in damp conditions that allowed Wise to break the tournament record with a winning score of -23.

2017: Billy Horschel

The tournament organisers for the AT&T Byron Nelson were hoping the 2018 edition would provide a fitting finale to the hosting duties of TPC Four Seasons and so it proved with Billy Horschel and Jason Day locked together at -12 after the 72 regulation holes. The pair played against each other in the final grouping alongside James Hahn (who missed out on the playoff by a matter of inches when his approach on the 72nd hole narrowly missed for eagle) but their extra time together in the playoff was as short as could be with a three-putt from Day handing the victory to Horschel courtesy of a par.

That the two men could not be separated over 72 holes was not a surprise given the quality of their golf at TPC Four Seasons. That they were capable of such good golf certainly was a surprise though. Horschel’s incoming form was horrible with four straight missed cuts while Day suffered the ignominy of failing to break 80 in his most recent round at the Players Championship.

With Hahn’s chances of winning receding after a weather break in the final round, it was left to Horschel and Day to trade blows. When Horschel holed the longest putt of his career on the 14th hole Day responded by chipping in for birdie on the 15th. They matched each other to the green on the first playoff hole but Day’s usually reliable putter let him down, gifting his opponent a fourth PGA Tour title.