Golf Betting Tips: 26th to 29th May 2022

After Justin Thomas's dramatic final round fight back at the PGA Championship, the golfing world swings straight back into action this week.

On the PGA Tour, Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas, once again plays host to the Charles Schwab Challenge. Across in Europe on the DP World Tour, Bernardus Golf in the Netherlands will hold the latest edition of the Dutch Open.

Charles Schwab Challenge

It is a testament to the high regard with which Colonial Country Club is held that so many big-name players who competed in last week’s PGA Championship are present in Fort Worth, Texas for a crack at the Charles Schwab Challenge. You would expect players to take a well-earned week off after being beaten up by Southern Hills but Jordan Spieth, Max Homa and Mito Pereira are all here as are the two playoff protagonists Justin Thomas and Will Zalatoris.

It would be a mistake to think that the big names are only here because they expect an easy week at Colonial. True, it’s not a major championship test, but this classical layout can still bite players in the behind. Moreover, it is one of the fairest courses on the PGA Tour which opens the tournament up and greatly increased the number of players who are genuinely capable of winning.

Jordan Spieth is certainly among those with a chance this week. That much is clear from just a cursory glance at the outright betting market as he is available at a best price of 14/1. That looks an accurate reflection of Spieth’s chances as he looks to bounce back from the beating he took at Southern Hills last weekend.

The reasons for backing Spieth revolve around his previous form. For a start, he has a tremendous record in this tournament with a host of top 10 finishes to go with his title in the 2016 edition. He also has very good form at similar PGA Tour venues including Harbour Town Golf Links where he won the RBC Heritage this season. That victory came the week after Spieth missed the cut at the Masters so he also has form bouncing back from disappointment. With no shortage of motivation following a disappointing weekend in Tulsa and an encouraging return to form over the last year, Spieth is the one the others all have to beat.

Like Spieth, Kevin Na is a former Colonial winner who must be respected this week. Na is experienced enough to know that he simply doesn’t have the power to contend on many PGA Tour courses. He must take advantage of the chances he gets at courses where driving distance is of less importance and he is ready to do just that this week at Colonial. A battling 23rd place finish in the PGA Championship was the latest in a run of good results for Na since April, a run which can continue to the extent that Na returns nicely for each way punters at odds of 50/1.

After finishing in a share of 57th at the BMW Championship Talor Gooch had mixed feelings. On the one hand, he was happy to have further established himself as a long term fixture on the PGA Tour but, ever the competitor, he wanted more and had seen another season go without earning his breakthrough win. That all changed at this year’s RSM Classic which Gooch won by three shots. This season has also seen him reach a career-high world ranking and there could be more still to come. Gooch has learned a lot about Colonial in his four starts in this event and at a price of 35/1 he can muster his best finish yet.

Dutch Open

There can be few sports which are so affected by the weather than golf. We’ll likely get a good reminder of that in this week’s Dutch Open.

Bernardus Golf, a venue much more used to hosting tourists than top-level professionals, was a pushover last year on its debut as the Dutch Open host. Matti Schmid made it to -20 but still found himself three shots away from even making a playoff with 2021 Dutch Open champion Kristoffer Broberg. The Swede took advantage of perfect weather conditions to earn his surprise win but he will have no such luck this time around. Wind and rain will be near constants throughout the 2022 Dutch Open so don’t expect scoring to be quite so good.

Whatever the weather, it quickly became clear last year that the key to unlocking Bernardus Golf is excellent approach play. The 7,425 yard, par 72 layout is wide enough for players to give it the beans off the tee without worrying about where their drives may go. Whether hitting out of the fairway or the rough, the quality of second shots into the greens will separate the contenders from the rest of the field.

Ryan Fox is known for the tremendous amount of power he possesses. The Kiwi will relish the chance to hit the driver so much at Bernardus Golf but he is much more than just a one-trick pony. Fox has some of the very best approach play statistics of anybody in the field for the 2022 Dutch Open. He showed just high that combination of driving power and solid approach play can take him with a good showing at the PGA Championship and can maintain his momentum by winning in the Netherlands at odds of 25/1.

Bernd Wiesberger is the only player with better strokes gained approach stats than Fox. That is enough to see him installed as the 18/1 favourite with the bookies but the affable Austrian is going to need a much better week with his putter than of late if he is to justify his lofty market position. Instead of backing Wiesberger, take the much more attractive price of 50/1 available about Victor Perez. It’s not been a great season so far for Perez but his approach play and putting are the only two areas not to have let him down and he can lean into those strengths to get the sort of positive result that he very much needs.

Haotong Li is another player in need of a good week. The Chinese star has not been shining as expected for a long time with various problems seeing his ranking plummet to outside of the top 500. Fortunately for Li, there does appear to be some light at the end of the tunnel. He finished 12th at the Sony Open in Hawaii in January before finishing third at the Ras al Khaimah Championship and sixth at the ISPS Handa Championship in Spain. Crucially, Li is one of the best wind players around while his approach to the green and putting stats look good so he makes each way appeal at odds of 66/1.

Recent Results

Tournament Course Winner
US PGA Championship Southern Hills Country Club Justin Thomas
AT&T Byron Nelson TPC Craig Ranch Lee Kyoung-hoon
Soudal Open Rinkven International Golf & Country Club Sam Horsfield
Wells Fargo Championship TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm Max Homa
British Masters The Belfry Thorbjorn Olesen
Mexico Open Vidanta Vallarta Jon Rahm
Catalunya Championship PGA Catalunya Golf Adri Arnaus
Zurich Classic of New Orleans TPC Louisiana Patrick CantlayXander Schauffele
ISPS Handa Championship Infinitum Golf Pablo Larrazabal
RBC Heritage Harbour Town Golf Links Jordan Spieth
Masters Tournament Augusta National Golf Club Scottie Scheffler
Valero Texas Open TPC San Antonio J. J. Spaun
Qatar Masters Doha Golf Club Ewen Ferguson
WGC-Dell Technologies Matchplay Austin Country Club Scottie Scheffler
Valspar Championship Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club Sam Burns
Steyn City Championship The Club at Steyn City Shaun Norris
The Players Championship TPC Sawgrass Cameron Smith
MyGolfLife Open Muthaiga Golf Club Pablo Larrazabal
Arnold Palmer Invitational Bay Hill Club and Lodge Scottie Scheffler
Magical Kenya Open Muthaiga Golf Club Ashun Wu
Honda Classic PGA National Resort and Spa Sepp Straka
Genesis Invitational Riviera Country Club Joaquín Niemann
Phoenix Open TPC Scottsdale Scottie Scheffler
Ras al Khaimah Classic Al Hamra Golf Club Ryan Fox
Pebble Beach Pro-Am Pebble Beach Golf LinksSpyglass Hill Golf CourseMonterey Peninsula Country Club Tom Hoge