Valspar Championship Betting Tips & Results

The Valspar Championship was introduced onto the PGA Tour as an alternative event, always played at the same time as a more prestigious tournament. It was quickly promoted as not only a fully-fledged PGA Tour event but the final tournament before the season-ending Tour Championship. However, the tournament continued to have problems finding a sponsor and place of its own on the schedule before it was moved to March and Valspar stepped in to sign a multiyear deal as the title sponsor.

The Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club is the long term host of the Valspar Championship. It’s a welcome stop off for players who struggle to keep up with the biggest hitters on the PGA Tour. Driving accuracy and approach play are particularly important indicators of success which helps the Copperhead Course stand out. The other thing to note about the Valspar Championship is the regularity with which the tournament is settled by very fine margins.

Betting Tips for 29th April to 2nd May 2021

The widespread shutdown of sport around the world has led to a large amount of frustration even if we all understand the reasons behind the need to put safety first. Paul Casey has reason to feel especially frustrated by the cancellation of last year’s Valspar Championship as he was all set to return to Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club to try and complete a remarkable hat-trick of tournament wins.

Thankfully for Casey, his game remains in very good shape. He comes into the week ranked 20th in the Official World Golf Rankings and although he missed the cut when last seen in the RBC Heritage his form has been more than encouraging with fifth-place finishes in the Players Championship and the Pebble Beach Pro-Am and an excellent win in the Omega Dubai Desert Classic on the European Tour. The Copperhead Course can easily catch out players who are ill-prepared but Casey has shown he has the required tools for the job and is worth backing at odds of 22/1 to complete his Valspar Championship hat-trick.

Louis Oosthuizen was just one place behind Casey in the 2019 Valspar Championship and returns to Innisbrook on the back of another second-place finish, this time in the Zurich Classic of New Orleans where his errant drive on the first playoff hole ultimately cost himself and his partner Charl Schwartzel the victory. The experienced South African knows just how to put the disappointment behind him and can take the positives of last week to contend the Valspar Championship so looks to have solid each way claims at a fair price of 30/1.

Past Winners

Year Course Winner
2021 Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club Sam Burns
2020 Cancelled n/a
2019 Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club Paul Casey
2018 Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club Paul Casey
2017 Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club Adam Hadwin

2021: Sam Burns

The 2021 Valspar Championship came down to a battle between two players at very different stages of their careers. For Sam Burns, the prize on offer was a first PGA Tour title. For Keegan Bradley, who won the PGA Championship in 2011, the prize was a return to the winner’s circle having won just once since 2012. In the end youth won out over experience as 24-year-old Burns completed a win which he described as, “a dream come true.”

Along with the sense of elation that winning brought Burns there was also a huge amount of relief. Twice already this season he has gone into the final round of a PGA Tour event with a lead and twice he has blown that chance. It was a little different this time around as it was Bradley who set the early pace with an excellent round of 64 on Thursday followed by a 66 on Friday. The man who almost defended his PGA Championship almost a decade ago (finishing third in 2012) was unable to maintain that pace and was joined by Burns at the head of affairs after Saturday’s round and then couldn’t find his best stuff in the heat of battle on Sunday, shooting 71 to Burns’ 68.

Although the leaderboard paints a picture of a comfortable win, Burns did not always look comfortable with his game on Sunday. He was pushed hard by Bradley in the early stages of the round and made some mistakes. However, it was an errant tee shot from the former major champion which found the water on 11 which handed the momentum and a two stroke lead to Burns. He never looked back from there and we expect there will be more wins to come from the now world number 44.

2020: Cancelled

The 2020 tournament was cancelled.

2019: Paul Casey

Fittingly for an Englishman, Paul Casey’s PGA Tour wins came about like the proverbial London busses: nothing for ages and then two show up at once. Casey broke a six-year wait for a professional win at the 2018 Valspar Championship and then won the same tournament one year later. In doing so, Casey became the first Valspar champion to successfully defend his title but it was a very different experience for him on the final day.

Whereas one year earlier Casey turned in a blistering display of golf to make a run through the field, this time around it was all about hanging on. He headed into Sunday’s round with a one-stroke lead over Dustin Johnson but the expected shootout for the title did not materialise as both men struggled. Johnson blew his chances of winning with a final round of 74 while Casey’s one-over round of 72 was just about good enough to see off Jason Kokrak, Louis Oosthuizen, Sungjae Im and Bubba Watson, none of whom found scoring easy on the Copperhead Course.

2018: Paul Casey

Paul Casey has never been shy about blowing his own trumpet. And why would he? The charismatic Englishman has forged a hugely successful career as a professional golfer all around the world and has a lot to be proud of. That pride was as clear as when he lifted the Valspar Championship trophy high over his head following his win at the Copperhead Course in 2018.

As any professional golfer will tell you, consistency over a long period is a pipe dream. Every player has ups and downs but Casey required every ounce of his self-belief to make it through a slump which saw him drop outside of the top 100 of the official golf world rankings. He hung tough and kept on working with the rewards coming in the shape of his second win on the PGA Tour and his first anywhere since the 2013 Irish Open.

A quick look at the leaderboard makes Casey’s win look all the more impressive as he held off Tiger Woods and Patrick Reed by a single stroke. That only tells part of the story though. He was actually nine groups ahead of those two who were the final pairing and set the clubhouse lead of -10 a full 80 minutes before Woods and Reed finished their round. As delighted as he was with his score, Casey described his wait as: “Awful. Horrible. Can’t stand it.” It was only when Woods missed a putt to force a playoff and keep his own shot at redemption going that Casey was able to celebrate.

2017: Adam Hadwin

The Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club has a knack for producing close finishes and so it was in 2017 when Adam Hadwin secured the first PGA Tour title of his career. The then 29 year old had previously been battling away to maintain his playing privileges on the PGA Tour but he showed signs that his form was coming to the boil just a couple of months before winning the Valspar Championship when he shot an incredible round of 59 in the CareerBuilder Challenge. Breaking that famed 60 mark gave Hadwin a huge boost of confidence and he went seriously low again at Innisbrook with rounds of 68, 64 and 67 giving him a four-stroke lead ahead of the final round.

Part of the reason that the Copperhead Course provides such thrilling finishes is that players can get on a birdie run to really make things interesting. Patrick Cantlay did exactly that on Sunday to make things very uncomfortable for Hadwin. In the end, Cantlay could only muster a final round of 68 when a repeat of the pair of 66s he shot on the Friday and Saturday would have seen him win the tournament by a stroke.

Tony Finau was another to show that low scores are out there at Innisbrook. He lit the early TV coverage up with a round of 64 to haul himself into fifth place but the 2017 Valspar Championship was very much Hadwin’s to lose and he made sure that he saw the job out without issue, going round in level par.