Italian Open Betting Tips & Results

The European Tour is home to some historic tournaments and the Italian Open is very much among them. First held in 1925, Italy’s national men’s open championship has taken in some of the very best courses the country has to offer. The Italian Open doesn’t have an unblemished record in that it was not held during World War II or for 11 years after 1960 but it was one of the founding events of the European Tour in 1972.

The importance of the Italian Open was reasserted in 2017 when it became one of the first Rolex Series events, a move that helped to further strengthen the field. Among the stars of European golf to have claimed the Italian Open title include home favourites Francesco Molinari, Ugo Grappasonni and Massimo Mannelli, and the father-son duo of Percy and Peter Alliss.

Betting Tips for 2nd to 5th September 2021

The Ryder Cup is just a matter of weeks away so it is fitting that a future Ryder Cup venue is the host of this week’s European Tour event. Marco Simone Golf and Country Club has the feel of a stadium course, a bit like Le Golf National at which Europe won the Ryder Cup three years ago.

This is the first time that the Roman venue has been used for the Italian Open since 1994. A lot of work has gone on at the course since then to ready it for the Ryder Cup. The players competing this week will have to learn the course pretty quickly. That includes the places not to miss that are rather less obvious than the water hazards and fescue found throughout the course.

Tommy Fleetwood, one of Europe’s stars at Le Golf National, is second only to Matt Fitzpatrick in the Italian Open betting and he looks a good bet at odds of 16/1. Fleetwood found some good form, but too late to make it into the PGA Tour playoffs. As disappointing as that was, it afforded Fleetwood some time off to spend with his family and recharge the batteries. He has done that in Rome and it’s back to work now at a golf course that should suit his game.

Fleetwood formed an incredible partnership with Francesco Molinari at the 2018 Ryder Cup. His game should also suit the challenge at Marco Simone this week and he’ll get huge support in the betting. Molinari’s game has not been consistent enough to really warrant support though and he may not even be the best Italian this week. Guido Migliozzi, who himself still has an outside chance of making Padraig Harrington’s team, is yet to win this year but his form has consistently been very good and he warrants support at a nice price of 25/1.

For those looking at players to back each way at a price, Andrew Johnston could be in for a good week in the outskirts of Rome. Johnston is in a very different place in his life compared to when he made his breakthrough in America and he’s has had to fight losing his game a lot over the last couple of years. Some encouraging performances now that he is focused solely on the European Tour suggests he may not be too far away from winning again so 66/1 is a tempting each way bet.

Past Winners

Year Course Winner
2021 Marco Simeone Golf and Country Club Nicolai Hojgaard
2020 Chervo Golf Club Ross McGowan
2019 Olgiata Golf Club Bernd Wiesberger
2018 Gardagolf Country Club Thorbjorn Olesen
2017 Golf Club Milano Tyrrell Hatton

2021: Nicolai Hojgaard

In a week in which the Molinari brothers got a huge amount of support at their home championship the Italian Open and the Korda sisters got top billing on the American Solheim Cup team it was the Hojgaard brothers who made history. Nicolai Hojgaard won the Italian Open just a week after twin brother Rasmus’s win at the Omega European Masters. That made them the first brothers to win back to back events on the European Tour.

It is a phenomenal achievement for the Danish brothers who are set to become mainstays of the European Ryder Cup team for some time even if their success has come a bit too soon for a place in the 2021 team. With Rasmus cheering on from inside the ropes, Nicolai saw off a high-quality leaderboard including a resurgent Tommy Fleetwood who finished one shot off the pace in second place.

“It means a lot,” Hojgaard said after sealing his maiden European Tour title. “I've been grinding for a long time and seeing Rasmus win three times made me want to do it even more.” Fleetwood, buoyed by his own return to form ahead of the Ryder Cup was typically magnanimous in defeat. “Fair play to Nicolai - there's obviously something very special happening with those brothers and that's going to be exciting in the future,” said the Englishman.

2020: Ross McGowan

It was a challenging year for golf in 2020 for obvious reasons and the Italian Open was one of many tournaments to have a different feel to it. There were no fans present at Chervo Golf Club and gone was the Rolex Series-boosted prize fund (and therefore many of the European Tour’s biggest names) but everybody watching on safely from home was treated to a dramatic finish on Sunday as Ross McGowan edged out his playing partner Laurie Canter by one shot.

It was Canter who started the day burdened by the weight of expectation. After ending the first round in the lead, he was attempting to complete a wire to wire victory but just could not hit the heights of the previous three days. He found it especially tough on the back nine and although none of the chasing pack ever made a serious move, McGowan was there to take advantage.

A strange renewal this may have been but it was of no consequence to McGowan who was emotional as he claimed his second European Tour after an 11-year gap since his first. He got the job done without having his best from tee to green but, strangely for McGowan, he putted the lights out. He also had to hang tough after finding the water on the 14th, finishing strongly to avoid a three-man playoff with Canter and Nicolas Colsaerts by just one shot.

2019: Bernd Wiesberger

The addition of the Rolex Series of events on the European Tour has had a significant impact, not least on the Race to Dubai. Victories in the premium events like the Italian Open carry extra weight so Bernd Wiesberger was absolutely delighted to win his second Rolex Series tournament of the year at the 2019 Italian Open.

The Italian Open has developed a reputation for dramatic finishes in recent years and Wiesberger’s win was the fourth in a row to be decided by just one shot (2015 winner Rikard Karlberg won in a playoff). The Austrian was in almost complete control of his golf ball during a round of 65 which included no bogeys. That proved too good for Matt Fitzpatrick who had held the lead since Friday but made a couple of costly mistakes on Sunday.

Justin Rose was the only player to better Wiesberger’s final round. His 64 was an incredible 14 shots better than his head-scratching effort on Saturday. Wiesberger never came close to such a calamitous round though and got stronger as the week went on.

2018: Thorbjorn Olesen

Thorbjorn Olesen was almost apologetic after his win in the 2018 Italian Open. Obviously, he was delighted to win such an iconic tournament and pick up his first Rolex Series win but he knew that by pipping Francesco Molinari by a shot he had denied the galleries at Gardagolf Country Club the win that they really wanted.

Molinari, who arrived in Brescia in arguably the form of his life, gave the fans something to cheer with a birdie on his final hole to set the clubhouse lead at -21. It would have been even better were it not for an uncharacteristic lapse on 17 which resulted in just his second dropped shot of the tournament.

Olesen saw that -21 target as something to surpass rather than anything to be afraid of. He was riding the crest of a wave by the time he came to his final hole of the tournament and sealed the deal by making a birdie on 17 and closing out with a regulation par for an excellent round of 64. Disappointed as the Italian fans were, there was nothing but respect for the quality of Olesen’s golf.

2017: Tyrrell Hatton

Tyrrell Hatton could reflect on the fact that there are worse times for European Tour players to find their best form. The Englishman followed up his win at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship one week earlier with another title at the Italian Open. Winning at St Andrews is very special for any European golfer but the victory at Golf Club Milano meant every bit as much, not least because the 2017 Italian Open formed part of the new Rolex Series of events.

Hatton’s win in Monza was more dramatic than his three-shot success in Scotland. Standing on the final tee he knew that he needed a safe par to take him into a three-man playoff alongside Kiradech Aphibarnrat and Ross Fisher (who finished second to Hatton in the Alfred Dunhill Links). However, he played the 18th hole well and gave himself a chance for birdies. “I had a good feeling standing over it even though my hands were shaking and my knees were shaking,” Hatton said after the round. He was right to feel confident as the putt dropped into the cup and those nerves turned into pure relief and elation.

The birdie on 18 was one of five made by Hatton on the final seven holes. That blistering finish made up for a slow start on the front nine. “I had to battle with myself today,” Hatton said before praising his caddie for maintaining his belief.